My analysis, if you really want to hear it, is that things couldn't have worked out better for Berlusconi right now, and not only for him. This almost perfect tie, while a major disaster for Italy, is the best way for Berlusconi to walk out of office as the strong leader he never was and never will be. Only few weeks ago everybody looked at him as the sorriest loser in the world.
Sure, the crappy electoral law he did just few months before the elections ended up giving a lot of unjustified bonus to the wrong winner, so much that the left-wing seats at the Chamber of Deputies largely outnumber right-wing's: but the difference in votes is so very small it can be fairly called a draw.
At the Senate, because the bonus to the winner is calculated for any single region and not for the whole nation (thanks to the mentioned crappy electoral law), it is a lot more difficult to give a majority of seats to a winner: in fact, at the Senate Berlsuconi and Prodi, his opponent, will have the same number of seats. As a consequence, it will be a hassle to pass any law, since everyone of them has to be approved by both Chamber and Senate. And what will happen when a given Senator will decide not to vote for a law he doesn't like? His power will become suddenly enormous. That's a too powerful temptation, when one single vote can change everything. Governability is screwed.
Now, because of this, and because of the conditions in which the country is in, and the hard work Italy would need to come out of the mud and make it in the Euro zone, it'd be no piece of cake to be Prime Minister. It is actually a lot better for Berlusconi to be in the background and let someone else do the hard work. Because of this, even though the numbers says Berlusconi could have won the elections, I say he's glad he didn't. More: he didn't want to.
Everything is really working great just like it is: with his party "Forza Italia" stronger enough in the Parliament, nobody will dare to touch his televisions and his assets. I can picture him, loudly calling for new elections, trashing the next opening of the new Parliament bragging to be the real winner and insisting that the Chambers are not justly composed. I can picture him blocking any law concerning him or his interests.
He will have a hell of a time in the part. He may even end up as the President.

So much for Berlusconi. And who else will be happy for this result? Well, what about all those forces abroad who need Italy to remain unstable, so that the European Union remains unstable? Those same kind of forces that always wanted Italy to remain unstable in the last fifty years or so? What about Berlusconi's best friends, mr. George W. and mister Putin, who strangely enough are not Europeans and are not concerned with the destiny of the European Union? They will be happy to know that, while their friend Berlusconi is not in charge when the worst decisions have to be taken (the reforms that the dreadful italian economic situation needs), not because of this Italy will actually have any real chance to prosper in the next future, nor to grow any real influence abroad.

Finally, who else will be smiling from this dark picture? Easy to say, radical left-wing parties will be smiling: because the weaker a moderate left-wing government will be, the stronger their place into it will be. Plus, it's not easy for them to be friends with an actual left-wing government, 'cause they don't look good under that light. So the weaker the government, the better.
It is a fact that under Berlusconi's spell they prosper, and eventually get a lot of votes. Not so under a moderate left-wing coalition. After all, it's obvious to anyone that they had, as always, a great deal of help from Berlusconi's televisions, having their faces showed everywhere before the elections. On the other hand, if the moderate left comes out too strong, they get totally neglected by TVs.

So, to sum up, we better wait before deciding who is the actual winner here. The supposed winners, they are all but happy. And some of the supposed losers, don't listen to what they say now. Give 'em the time to smile and they will be smiling. That's Italy, you know. In fact, have I mentioned the citizens in this picture? No, I haven't. Because even though citizens seems to be divided into two different italian countries, one against and one for Berlusconi, they are not a real issue.

The sky out is whiter than white, the city is noisy but the blackbird chirps, and I am very very tired. I am going to hit the pad. Italy just turned over in its steady fall, but no bad dreams. The rate of falling isn't changed so far.
The so called analysis is finished now, I hope you liked it 'cause that was it. I know I will want too change it later, but, it will be too late. Kisses.